It has been an interesting week
With the subversive Soilidarity Party getting a major PR boost from the Jobstown case, Sinn Fein making themselves seem the reasonable party in the stagnant Stormont talks and the Tory government forming in the worst possible fashion, the massive gains for the left in the public perception cannot be ignored on either side of the Irish Sea.
In the lead up to the 12th of July and all the social friction that brings
The DUP are sitting fat and happy in the (probably false) knowledge they are now unassailable by the taigs, their newly-wed status in Westminster giving them bundles of confidence and very little motivation to meet SF half way on power sharing talks.
This is could go one way or the other, they run very close to simply magnifying the public irritation that gave SF such a massive boost in the last election while the deal they got from Theresa May will also be well received in many quarters. I personally suspect SF will make gains if a snap election is called again, and for certain the polarisation of public voting into the two camps at the expense of smaller parties will continue.
Brokenshire will more than likely opt for said election in the event that talks fail as direct rule would be far too risky in the Brexit era, he may extend time for talks as well but that can only go so far.
The overall bill for all these British elections and referenda over the past 5 years must be astronomical.
The lay of the land in Westminster is still shaky as the Torys effectively hand Corbyn all the ammunition he could ask for, it is almost a deliberate throwing of the fight from the Neo-Cons as Corbyn along with his inner circle of incompetents are barely able to even capitalise on the Tory/BBC PR gifts in the past couple of months. Like the North a lefty takeover is definitely possible.
as with the North, the lead up to the 12th Orange marches is already happening with early marches in Lanarkshire and Glasgow reporting record turnout-more evidence of people seeking a tribe in these uncertain times. With the SNP rapidly becoming a poisoned chalice in many Scotsman’s eyes and the Labour party akin to the Church of Satan, Scotland is quietly but seriously becoming more fractured than ever before, it’s reactions to both the six counties and Westminster to be watched carefully.
And then to the Republic.
Since the election of the big brown gay one, Fianna Fail have made more noises about there ability to collapse government at will. Why in the world they would do it now when the time was months ago is beyond me, the public will not look kindly upon FF or FG if they went to the polls tomorrow.
In the FG/FF coalition
(and that’s exactly how it is perceived regardless of what Mehole Martin is trying to pull) you have an establishment that has persecuted whistle-blowers, shielded a Garda Commissioner and Officer corpse that are corrupt to the point of parody and dragged 6 men through the courts over a protest in a blatant act of political policing and prosecution.
Not to mention one of the Jobstown accused was a 15 year old boy, dragged from his home in the early hours and convicted already without a jury by what will be seen rightly as a corrupt judge.
The government parties have presided over a crisis in public perception never before seen in this state, even the complicity with RC Church abuses in the past have not done so much to destroy the public’s trust in the State apparatus.
And just as in the UK, it is almost a deliberate handing of moral victories to the left, specifically the arguably more vitriolic and pestilent leftist strain of scumshits we have in the Soilidarity Party. Taken together with SF’s recent gains in public approval, a revolution could be about to occur in Irish politics and not for the good. An SF/Solidarity coalition would be a catastrophe.
All these things taken together, we’re in a time like no other.
Imagine a Corbyn PM in Downing St, on the phone to Taoiseach Gerry Adams in Dublin, discussing a Sinn Fein majority securing a Border Poll in Stormont and the following riots across NI and Scotland from an increasingly more siege minded Loyalist population.
It’s not such an outside chance.
It would be war on these islands again, on a scale not seen before. When you consider the social upheaval across Europe, the fractured EU crumbling ever more rapidly and the wider tension worldwide, we’re in very troubled times indeed.
It’s going to be a hot summer.